Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.054947 0.064413 0.074975 0.087630 0.102375 0.119012 0.139207
2025-08-24 0.040014 0.052234 0.067347 0.087390 0.113260 0.145515 0.188790
2025-08-31 0.030999 0.043964 0.061319 0.086203 0.120931 0.167654 0.235296
2025-09-07 0.025969 0.039431 0.058659 0.088048 0.131769 0.194354 0.290740
2025-09-14 0.021645 0.034877 0.054873 0.087179 0.137970 0.214676 0.339281
2025-09-21 0.018076 0.030723 0.050827 0.084962 0.141349 0.230671 0.382834
2025-09-28 0.015192 0.027116 0.046972 0.082251 0.143218 0.244091 0.423527
2025-10-05 0.013675 0.025528 0.046119 0.084258 0.152935 0.271156 0.489890
2025-10-12 0.012202 0.023760 0.044655 0.084893 0.160203 0.294737 0.552975
2025-10-19 0.010911 0.022111 0.043137 0.085145 0.166677 0.317499 0.617189
2025-10-26 0.009944 0.020927 0.042292 0.086488 0.175259 0.344958 0.693309
2025-11-02 0.009256 0.020190 0.042190 0.089222 0.186803 0.379226 0.786539
2025-11-09 0.008047 0.018210 0.039380 0.086191 0.186587 0.390940 0.837283
2025-11-16 0.007246 0.016990 0.037973 0.085897 0.192009 0.414658 0.915783
2025-11-23 0.006477 0.015719 0.036273 0.084718 0.195341 0.434379 0.988231
2025-11-30 0.006027 0.015111 0.035945 0.086530 0.205458 0.469680 1.098880
2025-12-07 0.005444 0.014097 0.034546 0.085675 0.209374 0.491786 1.182611
2025-12-14 0.004850 0.012960 0.032701 0.083496 0.209878 0.506202 1.250314
2025-12-21 0.004300 0.011851 0.030770 0.080831 0.208840 0.516866 1.310374
2025-12-28 0.004056 0.011507 0.030691 0.082803 0.219518 0.556585 1.445912
2026-01-04 0.003767 0.010999 0.030121 0.083429 0.226849 0.588996 1.567190
2026-01-11 0.003489 0.010477 0.029444 0.083676 0.233226 0.619760 1.688028
2026-01-18 0.003281 0.010125 0.029175 0.084996 0.242640 0.659369 1.836832